E443: Why the Next Trillion-Dollar Startup Won’t Be a Software Company
How I Invest with David Weisburd
How I Invest with David Weisburd is a podcast that interviews the world's leading institutional investors. Previous guests include The Ford Foundation, Northwestern University Endowment, CalPERS, Stepstone, and other top limited partners.
David Weisburd
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E443: Why the Next Trillion-Dollar Startup Won’t Be a Software Company

Oct 16, 2026 • 62 mins

What if AI makes software abundant and shifts venture capital’s biggest opportunities into the physical world? Leo Polovets is a General Partner at Humba Ventures, an early-stage deep tech fund investing across robotics, defense, energy, manufacturing, and other physical industries. Leo explains why AI is commoditizing software, why hardware may capture more value as a result, and why some of the best opportunities are hiding in industries with almost no startup competition. We also discuss how to underwrite deep tech before revenue, what separates exceptional founders, the infrastructure bottlenecks created by AI, and why the biggest risk to deep tech may be its dependence on continued funding.

Highlights:
- Why the best companies and investors need a lane uniquely their own
- Why quantity of meetings can improve venture investment quality
- How AI growth is changing the definition of exceptional traction
- Why deep tech companies have a completely different revenue curve
- What separates the best venture capitalists from average investors
- Why Leo believes hardware investing is becoming more attractive
- How to evaluate deep tech companies years before meaningful revenue
- Why hardware may not be as capital intensive as investors assume
- The founder traits that matter most when building physical products
- Why Leo is cautious on investing directly in humanoid robotics

Guest Bio:
Leo Polovets is a General Partner at Humba Ventures, an early-stage deep tech fund investing 500K–1M in companies across robotics, bio, defense, energy, manufacturing, and other physical industries. He previously co-founded Susa Ventures, an early investor in companies including Robinhood, Flexport, and Stord.

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Stay Connected with David Weisburd:
X/Twitter: @dweisburd
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dweisburd/
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Stay Connected with Leo Polovets:
LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/lpolovets

Questions or topics you want us to discuss on How I Invest? Email us at [email protected].

Disclaimer:
This podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. Nothing in this episode should be interpreted as an offer to buy or sell any securities or to participate in any investment strategy. All opinions expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not represent the views of Weisburd Capital. Participants may hold positions or have financial interests in the companies, funds, or investments discussed. Any references to specific investments are for illustrative purposes only. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and any forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Any third-party data or opinions have not been independently verified. Listeners should conduct their own research and consult their own advisors before making any investment decisions.

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